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When Advice Conflicts, Who Should You Listen To?

Stock AdviceWe moved to Texas in the early days of the dot-com boom. I reconnected with a boyhood friend Tom. He has an economics degree from an Ivy League school, became a successful stockbroker and economics consultant.

My broker would "suggest" I consider some of the hotshot dot-com stocks. Tom provided a good offset, suggesting caution.

Many of these companies were not making money. Those showing profits had extreme price/earnings ratios; their stock prices outrageously high. Tom warned that "eventually" the tech market would suffer a horrible crash.

Who should I believe, my life-long friend, a recognized expert, or my stockbroker? I cautiously limited my exposure to the tech sector and invested in other areas. While they did not provide astronomical gains like some tech stocks did, we did well.

Tom's prediction "eventually "came true.

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Archived Articles

In Trust’s We Trust

My wife, Jo, handed me the phone. “It’s Mary Ann (our stockbroker). She wants to talk about the farm”. I recently wrote about how lucky we were to work with Mary Ann. She was a stockbroker with years of experience and put it to good use. The farm has been in Jo’s family for over a century. Rightfully, Jo’s portion […]

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The Federal Reserve Strikes Again!

With a concerned look on his face, my friend John said, “A special assessment would be close to $5,000 per home.” My wife Jo and I live in a Del Webb community in the Phoenix suburbs. Our community is responsible for maintaining our own roads. Here is the conversation that followed: John – “Most roads are expected to last 20 […]

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The Real Budget Battle No One Will Discuss

President Trump released his proposed 2018 Federal Budget. The battle lines are drawn. Expect to be inundated with articles like “The rich get richer, and the poor get…” We will quickly be fed up with class warfare, emotional bleeding hearts and hysterical politicos distorting statistics while pandering votes. The final result will be a pathetic “compromise”. Remember, a camel is […]

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Would You Support A War To Preserve The Union?

After the 2016 election I wrote about Calexit, a movement urging Californians to sign a petition allowing for a secession referendum. In April 2017, they pulled the plug on the initiative when it was discovered the leader of the campaign, Louis J. Marinelli, had Russian connections. He’s now seeking permanent residence in Russia. It didn’t take long before the idea […]

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The Real Budget Battle No One Will Discuss

President Trump released his proposed 2018 Federal Budget. The battle lines are drawn. Expect to be inundated with articles like “The rich get richer, and the poor get…” We will quickly be fed up with class warfare, emotional bleeding hearts and hysterical politicos distorting statistics while pandering votes. The final result will be a pathetic “compromise”. Remember, a camel is […]

» Read more

When The Market Crashes, Will It Come Back In Your Lifetime?

The sign on the booth touted a new, sophisticated computer-generated money management program. I walked inside and asked about stop losses. The young man replied, “Hold on to your stocks, the market always comes back.” I countered, “Can you guarantee it?” He pulled up a chart with some blips, concluding the market has always come back from a crash. I […]

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When Do You Sell Good Dividend Paying Stocks?

Which dividend stocks should you sell, and which should you keep? The stock market is setting records. Since the bank bailouts began in 2008, it’s no wonder. Interest rates dropped to historic lows, causing the stock market to soar. We recently discussed the acronym, TINA (There Is No Alternative). Investors, particularly baby boomers and retirees have few options to invest […]

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